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2052-A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years

Wednesday 20 March 2013 from 12:00 to 14:30

A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years

by Jorgen Randers

The Aurelio Peccei Lectures & Dialogues -

Enquiries on the Challenges of the 21st Century

Jorgen Randers (co-author of the original “Limits to Growth”) tries to answer the question, what our world will look like in forty years time. 2052 dares to give highly educated guesses, combining data, modelling and hard science with an understanding of human nature and its systems and intuitions. Its findings are sufficiently unsettling and startling to start the debate about the need for fundamental change.

Humanity’s systems, which uphold “business-as usual” are very resilient towards real change. Rapid change does not happen until people’s patience caused by the negative consequences of “business-as-usual” (climate change effects, inequity, resource depletion) runs out. Society’s main institutions: democracy and economy are based on short-termism, resulting in a slow societal response to challenges, which need long-term solutions and investments. Humanity has a forty-year window to avoid the most serious negative consequences of its decades-long overconsumption splurge.

The new Report is part of a larger campaign the Club of Rome launched in May 2012.


University Foundation (FUS)
Egmontstraat 11 rue d’Egmont
B-1000 Brussels.
Doors open at 11:30.


Invitations with electronic registration form will be mailed end of February and published on our website. The lecture will be followed by a debate with the audience and a walking lunch at 13:30 (optional).

The cycle of lectures is named after Aurelio Peccei (1908-1984), co-founder of The Club of Rome in 1968.
An initiative of CoR-EU, in partnership with The Club of Rome International Centre and European Support Centre.